{"id":1363,"date":"2022-09-26T10:49:48","date_gmt":"2022-09-26T10:49:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/?p=1363"},"modified":"2025-07-01T02:27:04","modified_gmt":"2025-07-01T02:27:04","slug":"seminar-khoa-hoc-voi-chu-de-rui-ro-dia-chinh-tri-geopolitic-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/hoat-dong-khoa-hoc\/seminar-khoa-hoc-voi-chu-de-rui-ro-dia-chinh-tri-geopolitic-risks\/","title":{"rendered":"Scientific Seminar on &#8220;Geopolitical Risks&#8221; with Dr. Pham Thai Binh"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><b>Ho Chi Minh City, September 26, 2022<\/b> \u2013 On the afternoon of September 26, 2022 (Monday), the School of Public Finance organized a scientific seminar on the topic: <b>&#8220;Geopolitical Risks.&#8221;<\/b> The event featured a presentation by <b>Dr. Pham Thai Binh<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>The seminar was conducted in an offline format and garnered significant interest and shared insights from faculty members of the School of Public Finance as well as a diverse range of invited guests.<\/p>\n<p>This paper assesses the impact of geopolitical risks (GPR) on Total Factor Productivity (TFP) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for a group of 18 emerging economies during the period 1985-2019. Based on Granger causality panel data tests, the study indicates that the trajectories of these variables cannot be ignored in explaining each other. To account for cross-equation influences, we estimate seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) models and find a significant and robust negative impact of GPR on both TFP and FDI. Counterfactual simulations provide approximate quantitative estimates of the impact of GPR during the 2015\u20132019 period, showing a significant impact on TFP growth but a small one on FDI. For emerging economies to consolidate their economic progress, geopolitical stability is essential.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" data-placeholder=\"B\u1ea3n d\u1ecbch\"><a href=\"https:\/\/drive.google.com\/file\/d\/14nooSIsbLMC35YXmO3aShuk0_H9d2Wq6\/view?usp=sharing\">Xem b\u00e0i tham lu\u1eadn<\/a><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\" data-placeholder=\"B\u1ea3n d\u1ecbch\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1364\" src=\"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925821108_815471739f38d205b3d9769707288101-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1920\" srcset=\"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925821108_815471739f38d205b3d9769707288101-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925821108_815471739f38d205b3d9769707288101-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925821108_815471739f38d205b3d9769707288101-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925821108_815471739f38d205b3d9769707288101-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925821108_815471739f38d205b3d9769707288101-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925821108_815471739f38d205b3d9769707288101-2048x1536.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1365\" src=\"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925593976_b6a899a06d98da1854ed9c2c0b6c164d-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1920\" srcset=\"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925593976_b6a899a06d98da1854ed9c2c0b6c164d-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925593976_b6a899a06d98da1854ed9c2c0b6c164d-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925593976_b6a899a06d98da1854ed9c2c0b6c164d-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925593976_b6a899a06d98da1854ed9c2c0b6c164d-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925593976_b6a899a06d98da1854ed9c2c0b6c164d-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925593976_b6a899a06d98da1854ed9c2c0b6c164d-2048x1536.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/> <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1366\" src=\"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925715869_4abe6b721641cbf2ed5ad3bebba74d7d-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1920\" srcset=\"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925715869_4abe6b721641cbf2ed5ad3bebba74d7d-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925715869_4abe6b721641cbf2ed5ad3bebba74d7d-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925715869_4abe6b721641cbf2ed5ad3bebba74d7d-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925715869_4abe6b721641cbf2ed5ad3bebba74d7d-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925715869_4abe6b721641cbf2ed5ad3bebba74d7d-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/z3881925715869_4abe6b721641cbf2ed5ad3bebba74d7d-2048x1536.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ho Chi Minh City, September 26, 2022 \u2013 On the afternoon of September 26, 2022 (Monday), the School of Public Finance organized a scientific seminar on the topic: &#8220;Geopolitical Risks.&#8221; The event featured a presentation by Dr. Pham Thai Binh. The seminar was conducted in an offline format and garnered significant interest and shared insights [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1366,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-hoat-dong-khoa-hoc"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1363"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1363\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1897,"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1363\/revisions\/1897"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1366"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/spf.ueh.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}